CryptoCycleIndex (CCI)

60% MVRV Z anchor + 40% context from 6 indicators

Bottom (0-20)
Accumulation (20-40)
Growth (40-60)
Overheated (60-80)
Peak (80-100)
Current CCI 16 7d -14 30d -12
Stable phase Accumulation
Days in phase 91 d
Agreement 60%
BTC Price $62,350
Updated 03 Jun, 12:00 UTC

Select area to zoom in. Double-click to reset.

Component breakdown Current normalized values (0–100) of CCI components; indicator alignment is calculated separately
MVRV Z-Score 60%
10
Fear & Greed 27%
12
RSI 18%
49
MA200 Trend 27%
8
Funding Rate 9%
50
BTC Dominance 9%
30
Market Breadth 10%
40

How CCI Works

CryptoCycleIndex (CCI) blends MVRV Z-Score (60% weight) with a context layer (40%) built from 6 market indicators. MVRV Z-Score defines the base score through continuous normalization, while context indicators refine it.

MVRV Z-Score is the primary anchor (60%). The remaining 40% is a context layer built from 6 indicators – CCI is not a symmetric average of 7 metrics.

MVRV Z-Score 60% · anchor

The primary anchor (60%). Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized value. Continuously normalized to a 0–100 scale, MVRV Z-Score determines the base cycle position: Bottom (<0.5), Accumulation (0.5–1.5), Growth (1.5–2.2), Overheated (2.2–2.8), Peak (>2.8).

Fear & Greed 27% · context

Measures market sentiment from social media, volatility, and trading volume. Extreme values often mark turning points.

MA200 Trend 27% · context

Bitcoin's price position relative to the 200-day moving average. A key long-term trend indicator.

RSI 18% · context

Technical momentum oscillator. Values below 30 indicate oversold conditions, above 70 – overbought.

Funding Rate 9% · context

Perpetual futures funding rate. High positive rates indicate excessive leverage and speculation.

BTC Dominance 9% · context

Bitcoin's share of total crypto market cap. Lower dominance often indicates late-cycle altcoin speculation.

Market Breadth 10% · context

Share of top crypto assets above MA200 and with positive 90-day momentum. It shows whether the cycle is supported by the broad market or concentrated in a few large assets.

What the Phases Mean

Phase transitions require CCI to cross ±2 beyond the boundary (hysteresis). Soft edges prevent noise around the thresholds.

0-20: Market is historically undervalued. Previous bottom phases have preceded extended recovery periods.
20-40: Market is recovering. Indicators show growing interest.
40-60: Market is growing. Indicators are positive but don't indicate overheating.
60-80: Market is approaching overheated territory. Elevated correction risk.
80-100: Market is in extreme territory. Historically associated with elevated correction risk.

CCI is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data sources: MVRV Z-Score – bitcoin-data.com, Fear & Greed – alternative.me, RSI / MA200 / BTC Dominance / Market Breadth – CoinGecko Pro, Funding Rate – Binance Futures.